Bleak News From Commercial Real Estate

Sixty percent of U.S. commercial real estate executives surveyed said they believed the current credit crisis had eclipsed the Savings & Loan crisis of 1989-1991 as having the greatest impact on the state of the industry.

Nearly 80 percent said they did not believe the meltdown of financial powerhouses -- the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, Bank of America, the takeover of Merrill Lynch & Co and American International Group's bailout by the federal government -- signaled the end of the crisis, according to law firm DLA Piper's 2008 State of the Market Real Estate Survey released on Sunday.

The survey was conducted before U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson called on Friday for the government to spend hundreds of billions of dollars to rescue financial companies from defaulted mortgages and other toxic debt that have threatened to undermine the financial system.Still, the respondents were bleak, with 90 percent describing themselves as having a bleak outlook for the next 12 months for U.S. commercial real estate market, up from 68 percent from a year earlier, when the credit crisis began.

The commercial property market has come to a near halt since the credit markets became unhinged and sources of financing dried up. One of the cheapest and most often-used sources of debt that helped drive the commercial real estate boom was the commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS).Last year, the CMBS market accounted for $230.19 billion worth of securitized commercial mortgages. This year the total fell to $12.15 billion, and there have been no new issuances since June.

About 46 percent of the respondents said they did not believe securitized lending transactions financed by the CMBS market would return to prior levels until after 2010. About 33 percent said that it would return by 2010, and 16 percent said they did not think CMBS would ever return to its prior strength. Reuters News Service.